Predictions...

[johnnysorrow]

So a few weeks ago I made this prediction...

http://toymaker.livejournal.com/182993.html



Here is my updated thoughts on how this will go. Obama Wins 353 - 185.


Obama wins: 353

NH (04), VT (03), MA (12), RI (04), CT (07), NJ (15), DE (03), MD (10), DC (03), VA (13), OH (20), MI (17), WI (10), IL (21), MN (10), IA (07), FL (27), CO (09), NM (05), WA (11), OR(07), CA (55), HI(04), NV (05), and CA (55)

McCain Wins: 185

IN (11), KY (08), WV (05), TN (11), SC (08), GA (15), AL (09), MS (06), LA (09), AR (06), MO (11), TX (34), OK (07), KN (06), NE (05), ND (03), SD (03), MT (03), WY (03), AZ (10), UT (05), ID (04), and AK (03)


House: 251(D) - 184(R)

Senate: 59(D) - 41(R)

Comments

[trollup.livejournal.com]

I just hope that such predictions -- everyone seems to be doing it lately -- aren't going to dissuade people from voting. There's been a fair amount of discussion on this point lately and I must admit it would be very interesting to see what would happen if the media were banned from any predictive statements or public polling. :-)

[toymaker.livejournal.com]

IT would be an interesting question really. Im not sure that there is going to be a dissuasion of voting via the fact of predictions. However Voter intimidation will most likely happen, as well as a big fight to get peoples votes not counted. Though with something like a 60% turnout. Its going to be monumental election. for the record the US hasn't had a turn out this big since a liberal catholic from New England was elected in 1960.